The Pareto Principle applied to genealogy
This morning I opened a skinny little book, The Irish Roots Guide, by Tony McCarthy. The book happened to open to Chapter 3, and the first words grabbed me: "The Pareto Principle..." Oh my! I was instantly transported back to the 1980s - to quality circles, the Japanese concept of "Total Quality Management" and Pareto charts. Remember the Pareto Principle? It was also known as the "80-20 rule" or the law of "the vital few." Developed by an Italian economist named Vilfredo Pareto, the principle named after him says 80% of effects come from 20% of causes. At my workplace we drew Pareto charts to identify the most significant causes of errors/problems. Tony McCarthy wrote his book in 1991, on the heels of the quality revolution of the 1980s. He says the Pareto Principle applies to family history like this: "80 per cent of the records refer to a mere 20 per cent of the people," with a corollary: "only 20 per cent of all documentary material is relevant as far as 80 per cent of the people is concerned." McCarthy postulates that 75% of Irish people descend from Irish tenant farmers and identifies a number of record sources that are not likely to yield helpful ancestral information. While Chapter 3 of his book covers "Twelve Major Sources," McCarthy suggests only six can be reasonably expected to be productive: "census returns, civil registration, parish records, land commission records, Griffith's Valuation and the tithe applotment books." A disappointing theory as I'd always hoped to find a "silver bullet" in some obscure, newly-uncovered source. The Irish Roots Guide is certainly much more than a few paragraphs about the Pareto Principle. The back cover of the book carries these claims:
- offers clear, step-by-step instructions
- provides an introduction to each of the important documentary collections
- equips you to do your own research in the Irish archives, showing how to avoid pitfalls
- adopts a fresh approach to family history, debunks myths, and never forgets that half of our ancestors were women.